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Troughs over WA's north, the NT's west and south and SA's far north are causing showers and storms. A cold front is causing showers and storms over SA's east, Vic's west and Tas. Another trough and an unstable E'ly airflow are causing showers and storms over Qld and eastern NSW.
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Today, 12:25AM UTC
Hobart facing rare October heat as severe heatwave continues in Tasmania
Hobart could see two 30°C days this week as a severe heatwave continues to affect parts of southern and eastern Tasmania, although a cold change is on the way. An early-season heatwave is affecting parts of Tasmania this week as a near-stationary high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea directs warm northerly winds across the state. According to the Bureau of Meteorology, a severe heatwave will affect parts of southern and eastern Tasmania between Wednesday and Friday. Image: Heatwave outlook for the three-day period ending on Friday, October 23, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. This week's heatwave is being caused by maximum temperatures reaching the high twenties to low thirties over several consecutive days, combined with overnight minimum temperatures also remaining above average during this period. The Bureau warns that “severe heatwaves can be dangerous for many people, especially older people, babies, children, pregnant and breastfeeding women, people with medical conditions and people who are unwell.” Heat record possible for Hobart Hobart has been unusually hot since the start of this week and will continue to feel this summer-like warmth until Friday. After reaching around 29°C on Monday, the city’s maximum temperature hit 30.4°C on Tuesday, which was Hobart’s hottest October day in nine years. Based on current forecasts, maximum temperatures in Hobart will briefly dip to the mid twenties on Wednesday – still well above the October average of 17°C – before climbing back to around 30°C on Thursday and 29°C on Friday. Image: Daily forecast for Hobart in the Weatherzone app. Forecast valid at 11am AEDT on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. If Hobart reaches 30°C twice this week, it will be only the third time in 145 years of records that the city has registered two 30°C days in October. If it manages to get three days at or above 30°C this week, it will be a new October record. Hobart is also on track for a new October record of more than six consecutive days reaching at least 20°C. This Wednesday, October 21, will be the sixth consecutive day over 20°C, which will match the existing record from 1933, 1922, 1894 and 1891 (part of the 1891 record started in late September). This week’s heat should extend the record to eight days by Friday. Cold change on the way Computer models suggest that this week’s heatwave will end abruptly later this week when rain and a cold front sweep over the state this weekend. Image: Forecast 850 hPa temperature and mean sea level pressure over Australia on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, showing cold air spreading over Tasmania. Source: Weatherzone. Hobart’s maximum temperatures are currently forecast to drop to the high teens on Saturday and around 16°C by Sunday. This colder weather is expected to linger into early next week as a cool air mass lingers over the state. Some computer models even indicate that snow could settle on higher parts of central and western Tasmania on Monday or Tuesday next week.
20 Oct 2026, 5:58AM UTC
Rain to soak parts of Queensland, NSW for at least a week
Persistent and heavy rain will affect parts of Queensland and NSW during at least the next seven days, with some areas possibly in line to receive more than one month’s rain in a matter of days. Why is so much rain on the way? Two separate streams of moisture-laden air will collide over eastern Australia in the coming week. One will come from winds in the middle to upper levels of the atmosphere carrying moisture across Australia from the Indian Ocean. Meanwhile, in the lower atmosphere closer to the surface, winds will flow towards Australia from the Coral and Tasman Seas, providing a secondary source of moisture above eastern Australia. Image: Forecast precipitable water and 900 hPa winds at 5pm AEDT on Thursday, October 22, 2026, showing low-level winds carrying moisture towards Australia from the east. Source: Weatherzone. In addition to this abundance of moisture, a series of upper-level troughs will provide ample atmospheric instability over parts of Queensland and NSW in the coming week. This will create an ideal environment for rain and thunderstorm development. How much rain will fall? It is important to note that there is a high amount of model uncertainty regarding how much rain will fall over the next week and exactly where the heaviest falls will occur. At this stage, most computer models agree that rain and thunderstorms will affect a broad area of eastern, northern and southern Australia in the coming week, with rain likely to fall over part of every state and territory. There is also good consensus that a large region extending from central Queensland down to northeast NSW will receive heavy rainfall, possibly more than 100 mm in the coming week, which would exceed the October average for some locations. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 11pm AEDT on Monday, October 26, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. While rain is likely to fall over parts of Queensland and NSW each day between now and at least next Wednesday, periods of heavier rain are possible, including this Thursday when heavier falls are expected to develop over southeast Queensland and northeast NSW. The coming week’s rain and thunderstorms may cause flooding in parts of Queensland and northeast NSW. Be sure to check the latest severe weather, severe thunderstorm and flood warnings in your area for the most up to date information.
20 Oct 2026, 1:28AM UTC
Melbourne's first 30-degree days of spring
The temperature in Melbourne looks set to hit the 30-degree mark for the first time since March, with maximums of 30°C forecast for both this Thursday and Friday. Melbourne’s warmest spring day to date in 2026 was 28.5°C on September 20. So far this month, Melbourne's average maximum has been 20.9°C, which is 1.2°C above the long-term average of 19.7°C. While October has been warm overall, Melbourne has seen no significant heat spikes, especially compared to Sydney's 34.8°C day on October 12. This week's pair of 30-degree Melbourne days won't be extreme in a month where the highest temperature in well over 100 years of records was 36.9°C, but it's a reminder that summer is on the way. As is often the case with both cold and warm spells in Melbourne, Adelaide gets a taste first, and that will be the case this week with the SA capital expecting a top of 31°C on Thursday. What is causing the warmth? Image: Predicted maximum temperatures across Australia on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. A very slow-moving high pressure system located over the Tasman Sea is causing northerly winds which are funnelling warm air from Australia's interior towards the country’s southern and southeastern states. The image above shows areas of intense heat (the pink zones) in Western Australia's Pilbara and Kimberley regions, where the mercury reached 44.8°C on Monday at Mandora Station in the western Kimberley. Some of that heat is tracking all the way southeast across the continent, including to Tasmania. Meanwhile the east coast is under the influence of a moist, onshore flow which is moderating daytime temperatures. That's why Hobart is currently about halfway through a potential eight-day run where its maximum is exceeding Brisbane's. Spring see-saw kicks in after warm spell Image: Mean sea level pressure and 850 hPa temperatures showing much cooler air establishing over SE Australia early on Monday, October 26, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. After Melbourne's warmth on Thursday and Friday, an in-between day is expected on Saturday with a maximum around 24°C as showers increase in a rain band ahead of an approaching cold front. Melbourne's classic "spring temperature see-saw" will then reappear, with maximums of just 16°C and 15°C currently predicted for Sunday and Monday respectively. At this stage, Monday looks like a chilly one right across southeastern Australia, with snow forecast for elevated parts of Tasmania and the mainland high country.