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Troughs over WA's east, the NT and SA's west are causing showers & storms. A weakening front is causing showers & storms over Vic. Another trough and an unstable E'ly airflow are causing showers & storms over NSW and Qld. An approaching front is bringing showers to WA's southwest
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Today, 6:35AM UTC
Month's rain in two hours as storms light up northern NSW, southern Qld
An outbreak of thunderstorms has produced heavy localised rainfall across a large swathe of northern New South Wales and southern Queensland on Wednesday afternoon, with storm activity continuing into the evening. A severe thunderstorm warning for damaging winds, large hailstones and heavy rainfall for parts of the Central Highlands and Coalfields, Central West, Maranoa and Warrego and Channel Country forecast districts was issued at 4:23 pm (AEST) on Wednesday. While no equivalent warning was issued for New South Wales during the afternoon, northern parts of that state have also been lashed by widespread storms, some of them delivering heavy rainfall within a short period. Bourke receives its monthly rainfall in just two hours Image: Four-hour combined radar and satellite loop showing the storm around midday on Wednesday near Bourke, NSW. Source: Weatherzone. Weatherzone meteorologist Ben Domensino wrote on Tuesday that some areas in Queensland and New South Wales were in line to receive more than one month’s rain in a matter of days. Bourke in northwestern New South Wales achieved its monthly average in just two hours. Bourke averages 26.1 mm of rainfall across the whole of October, but it received around 28 mm of rainfall between about 11:30 am and 1:30 pm (AEDT) as a large storm crossed the area (see loop above). About five hours north of Bourke, the town of Charleville in western Queensland's Maranoa and Warrego forecast district received 16.2 mm in just half an hour in a different storm between 2:30 pm and 3 pm (AEST). What is causing this stormy outbreak? Two separate streams of moisture-laden air are colliding over eastern Australia. The first source is coming from winds in the middle to upper levels of the atmosphere carrying moisture across Australia from the Indian Ocean. In the lower atmosphere closer to the surface, winds are flowing towards Australia from the Coral and Tasman Seas, providing a secondary source of moisture above eastern Australia. Stormy weather to persist for around a week The stormy weather can be expected to continue for the best part of the next week, delivering much-needed rainfall to many locations. For northern NSW and adjacent inland areas, and for southern and central parts of Queensland's coast and adjacent areas, this week should be by far the wettest spell since early autumn. Virtually all of these areas had a very dry winter which was close to the driest on record (in some spots) followed by a relatively dry first half of spring. Brisbane received just 22.4 mm of rainfall in the three months from July to September, but rain is on the forecast for each of the next seven days, with heavy falls possible some days and thunderstorms likely at times too. Flood risk should be monitored Image: Predicted rainfall totals across Australia up until Tuesday, October 27, 2026, showing how NE NSW and SE Qld are the areas forecast to see the heaviest totals. Source: Weatherzone. With so much rain on the horizon, and with the likelihood of severe thunderstorms in some areas, the likelihood of both riverine flooding and flash-flooding will increase. Please check the Weatherzone warnings page for the latest information.
Today, 12:25AM UTC
Hobart facing rare October heat as severe heatwave continues in Tasmania
Hobart could see two 30°C days this week as a severe heatwave continues to affect parts of southern and eastern Tasmania, although a cold change is on the way. An early-season heatwave is affecting parts of Tasmania this week as a near-stationary high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea directs warm northerly winds across the state. According to the Bureau of Meteorology, a severe heatwave will affect parts of southern and eastern Tasmania between Wednesday and Friday. Image: Heatwave outlook for the three-day period ending on Friday, October 23, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. This week's heatwave is being caused by maximum temperatures reaching the high twenties to low thirties over several consecutive days, combined with overnight minimum temperatures also remaining above average during this period. The Bureau warns that “severe heatwaves can be dangerous for many people, especially older people, babies, children, pregnant and breastfeeding women, people with medical conditions and people who are unwell.” Heat record possible for Hobart Hobart has been unusually hot since the start of this week and will continue to feel this summer-like warmth until Friday. After reaching around 29°C on Monday, the city’s maximum temperature hit 30.4°C on Tuesday, which was Hobart’s hottest October day in nine years. Based on current forecasts, maximum temperatures in Hobart will briefly dip to the mid twenties on Wednesday – still well above the October average of 17°C – before climbing back to around 30°C on Thursday and 29°C on Friday. Image: Daily forecast for Hobart in the Weatherzone app. Forecast valid at 11am AEDT on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. If Hobart reaches 30°C twice this week, it will be only the third time in 145 years of records that the city has registered two 30°C days in October. If it manages to get three days at or above 30°C this week, it will be a new October record. Hobart is also on track for a new October record of more than six consecutive days reaching at least 20°C. This Wednesday, October 21, will be the sixth consecutive day over 20°C, which will match the existing record from 1933, 1922, 1894 and 1891 (part of the 1891 record started in late September). This week’s heat should extend the record to eight days by Friday. Cold change on the way Computer models suggest that this week’s heatwave will end abruptly later this week when rain and a cold front sweep over the state this weekend. Image: Forecast 850 hPa temperature and mean sea level pressure over Australia on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, showing cold air spreading over Tasmania. Source: Weatherzone. Hobart’s maximum temperatures are currently forecast to drop to the high teens on Saturday and around 16°C by Sunday. This colder weather is expected to linger into early next week as a cool air mass lingers over the state. Some computer models even indicate that snow could settle on higher parts of central and western Tasmania on Monday or Tuesday next week.
20 Oct 2026, 5:58AM UTC
Rain to soak parts of Queensland, NSW for at least a week
Persistent and heavy rain will affect parts of Queensland and NSW during at least the next seven days, with some areas possibly in line to receive more than one month’s rain in a matter of days. Why is so much rain on the way? Two separate streams of moisture-laden air will collide over eastern Australia in the coming week. One will come from winds in the middle to upper levels of the atmosphere carrying moisture across Australia from the Indian Ocean. Meanwhile, in the lower atmosphere closer to the surface, winds will flow towards Australia from the Coral and Tasman Seas, providing a secondary source of moisture above eastern Australia. Image: Forecast precipitable water and 900 hPa winds at 5pm AEDT on Thursday, October 22, 2026, showing low-level winds carrying moisture towards Australia from the east. Source: Weatherzone. In addition to this abundance of moisture, a series of upper-level troughs will provide ample atmospheric instability over parts of Queensland and NSW in the coming week. This will create an ideal environment for rain and thunderstorm development. How much rain will fall? It is important to note that there is a high amount of model uncertainty regarding how much rain will fall over the next week and exactly where the heaviest falls will occur. At this stage, most computer models agree that rain and thunderstorms will affect a broad area of eastern, northern and southern Australia in the coming week, with rain likely to fall over part of every state and territory. There is also good consensus that a large region extending from central Queensland down to northeast NSW will receive heavy rainfall, possibly more than 100 mm in the coming week, which would exceed the October average for some locations. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 11pm AEDT on Monday, October 26, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. While rain is likely to fall over parts of Queensland and NSW each day between now and at least next Wednesday, periods of heavier rain are possible, including this Thursday when heavier falls are expected to develop over southeast Queensland and northeast NSW. The coming week’s rain and thunderstorms may cause flooding in parts of Queensland and northeast NSW. Be sure to check the latest severe weather, severe thunderstorm and flood warnings in your area for the most up to date information.